On
the eve of the 59th Republic Day of India, when the entire
nation is set to celebrate the occasion with pomp, with a
cultural parade and display of military resources at the
capital, flag hoisting, and the like all over the nation, it
is also a time to review what the nation has achieved, where
it lags, and most importantly, where the country stands in
comparison to other nations who have gained independence
around the same time as India.
During the past sixty years,
India has come a long way from where it started. It would be
quite interesting to compare the progress of other nations
to that of India's progress. An overview and comparison
could include nations such as Indonesia and Malaysia, both
of which gained independence in the 40s and 50s as well as
Japan and China, two nations that have undergone a
transformation since the Hiroshima bombing in 1945 and the
Chinese Civil War in 1949 respectively.
In terms of politics and
governance, India is inarguably the largest democracy in the
world, with a well-established multi-party political system
in place since independence. Elections are held regularly,
and the majority of Indians exercise their rights to elect
the government. Political disturbance exists, no doubt, but
it has not affected the welfare and development of the
country on the whole. The country is plagued by insurgency
activities in Kashmir, the Northeast, and the central parts
of India.
In a predominantly Muslim
country such as Malaysia, which earned its independence in
1957, the early years of the federation were marred by an
armed conflict with Indonesia and the expulsion of
Singapore. Administratively speaking, more power is vested
in the executive branch of government than in the
legislative, and the judiciary has been weakened by
sustained attacks by the government during the years.
Political unrest is evident, especially among non-Bumiputras
(son of the soils) as they feel deprived and neglected on
account of various policy decisions that limit their
actions. Indicators point to a higher incidence of crime and
gang-related activities among such people in recent
years.
Indonesia, earned its
independence exactly two years before India, is the fourth
most populous nation in the world, and is predominantly
Muslim. Post 1998, Indonesian political and governmental
structures have undergone major reforms. However, separatist
movements in the provinces of Aceh and Papua have led to
armed conflict, and subsequent allegations of human rights
abuses and brutality affect all parties involved. Following
a sporadic thirty-year guerrilla war between the Free Aceh
Movement (GAM) and the Indonesian military, a ceasefire
agreement was reached in 2005. The country has also been
threatened by international terrorist attacks.
China, the most populous
country in the world, on the other hand, is fast emerging as
a global superpower. The nation came into being after the
Chinese Civil war in 1949 and has just recently entered the
big league, leveraging its vast population, rapidly growing
economy, large research and development investments, and
status as a declared nuclear weapons state. As a communist
state, China went through a series of socioeconomic
movements beginning in the late 1950s and continuing in the
1960s with the Cultural Revolution that left much of its
education system and economy in shambles. It was only in the
late 1990s that a series of political and economic reforms
advocated by Deng Xiaoping were implemented and eventually
formed the foundation for mainland China's rapid economic
development. On the political front, however, censorship of
political speech and information is openly and routinely
used to protect what the government considers national
security interests. The government has a policy of limiting
some protests and organizations that it considers a threat
to social stability and national unity, as was the case with
the Tiananmen Square protests of 1989. In fact, China is
considered as one of the least free countries in the world
in terms of press freedoms.
Japan, on the other hand, has
shown the world it has what it takes to be the leader as it
rose out of the ashes. After the Hiroshima event in 1945,
Japan has shown unbelievable development in all spheres.
Japan is a constitutional monarchy where the power of the
Emperor is very limited and is held chiefly by the Prime
Minister of Japan. Since the bombing and the gradual period
of resurgence, Japan has engaged in several territorial
disputes with its neighbors: with Russia over the South
Kuril Islands, with South Korea over the Liancourt Rocks,
with China and Taiwan over the Senkaku Islands and the EEZ
around Okinotorishima. Japan also faces an ongoing dispute
with North Korea over its abduction of Japanese citizens and
its nuclear weapons and missile program.
In terms of economy, India
has shown tremendous positive development over the last few
decades, especially during the early 1990s. The economy has
grown in amazing figures, appropriately reflected in the
ever-increasing development of the manufacturing and service
sector, foreign trade, stock market, and the GDP. In fact,
in infrastructure, consumerism, telecommunication and such
other segments, India has made significant progress, though
there is much left to do.
In comparison, Malaysia was a
predominantly agriculture and mining-based economy until the
1970s. After that point, the nation began to imitate the
Asian Tigers and committed itself to a transition into an
economy that depended more on manufacturing. With Japanese
investment, heavy industries flourished and in a matter of
years, Malaysian exports contributed to the country's
primary growth. As with other countries affected by the East
Asian financial crisis of 1997 and 1998, there was
speculative short-selling of the Malaysian currency, the
Ringgit, the national stock exchange plummeted to an
unprecedented low, foreign direct investment fell at an
alarming rate, and capital flowed out of the country.
Regardless of cause and effect, rejuvenation of the economy
also coincided with massive government spending and budget
deficits in the years that followed the crisis. Later,
Malaysia enjoyed faster economic recovery compared to its
neighbors. In many ways, however, the country has yet to
recover to the levels of the pre-crisis era.
In Indonesia, post
independence, the economy deteriorated drastically as a
result of political instability, a young and inexperienced
government, and ill-disciplined economic nationalism, which
resulted in severe poverty and hunger. However, in the 1970s
oil price increases provided an export revenue windfall that
contributed to sustained high economic growth rates.
Following further reforms in the late 1980s, foreign
investment flowed into Indonesia, particularly into the
rapidly developing export-orientated manufacturing sector,
and from 1989 to 1997, the Indonesian economy grew by an
average of over seven percent. Subsequently, Indonesia was
hardest hit by the East Asian financial crisis. Political
instability since 1998, slow economic reform, and corruption
at all levels of government and business, have also
contributed to a slow recovery.
Moving
on to the leading economies of Asia, beginning in late 1978,
Chinese leadership has been reforming the economy from a
Soviet-style centrally planned economy to a more
market-oriented economy that is still within a rigid
political framework under Communist Party control. The
result has been a six-fold increase of GDP since 1978.
Chinese economic development is among the fastest in the
world, and has been growing at an average annual GDP rate of
9.4% for the past 25 years. Mainland China has a reputation
as being a low-cost manufacturer, largely because Chinese
corporations can produce many products less expensively than
competitors in other parts of Asia or Latin America, and
also due to unfavorable exchange rate between the Chinese
Yuan and the United States dollar.
Japan, on the other hand, has
been an established economy for a long time, matching steps
with the giants like the United States. Close
government-industry cooperation, a strong work ethic,
mastery of high technology, and a comparatively small
defense allocation have helped Japan become the second
largest economy. Japan has a large industrial capacity and
is home to some of the largest and most technologically
advanced producers of motor vehicles, electronic equipment,
machine tools, steel and nonferrous metals, ships,
chemicals, textiles and processed foods. It is home to
leading multinational corporations and commercial brands in
technology and machinery. Construction has been one of
Japan's largest industries, with the help of multi-billion
dollar government contracts in the civil sector. From the
1960s to the 1980s, overall real economic growth has been
called a "miracle" given the 10% average in the
1960s, 5% average in the 1970s, and a 4% average in the
1980s. Growth slowed considerably in the 1990s, largely
because of the after-effects of over-investment during the
late 1980s and domestic policies intended to wring
speculative excesses from the stock and real estate markets.
The government has tried to spur economic growth, but they
were unable to succeed and were further hampered in 2000 due
to the downturn in the global economy.
However, the economy showed
strong signs of recovery after 2005. GDP growth for that
year was 2.8%, and in the fourth quarter, the growth rates
even rivaled those of the US and European Union during the
timeframe. However, it is not that these countries are only
making good progress in terms of governance and economy.
There are serious issues that are plaguing the nations as
well. For India, lack of transparency and corruption,
poverty, unemployment, illiteracy, and over-population are
still disturbing factors that haunt the nation.
Insurgencies, proxy-war with a neighboring country,
terrorism, and extremist movements in the North, Northeast
and central India are also major concerns.
Even Malaysia, for example,
is torn amidst ethnic insurgencies. Facilities are limited
among the non-Bhumiputras which causes serious law and order
problems. Moreover, non-Muslims experience restrictions in
activities such as construction of religious buildings and
the celebration of certain religious events in some states.
Indonesia, too, is badly affected by global terrorism and
remains on the tenterhooks. The country has been ranked
143rd out of 180 countries in terms of corruption. As of
2006, nearly 18% of the population lives below the poverty
line, and close to half of the population lives on less than
$2 a day.
Even China faces a number of
other economic problems, including an aging population and
an increasing rural-urban income gap. Although China needs
economic growth to spur its development, there is some
concern that rapid economic growth has negatively impacted
the country's resources and environment. Another concern is
that certain sectors of society are not sufficiently
benefiting from China's economic development. With a
population of over 1.3 billion, the country is very
concerned about its population growth and has attempted,
with mixed results, to implement a strict family planning
policy.
For
Japan, the primary problem is demographic in nature. Japan
has one of the highest life expectancy rates in the world,
but the Japanese population is rapidly aging. In 2004,
nearly 20% of the population was over the age of 65. The
changes in the demographic structure have created a number
of social issues, particularly a potential decline in the
workforce population and increases in the cost of social
security benefits such as the public pension plan. Japan's
population is expected to drop to 100 million by 2050 and to
64 million by 2100.
As we draw a conclusion based
on the development (or the lack of it) that we find in East
Asian countries and compare to that of India, it could be
said that India has moved ahead. In terms of political
environment or economy, India can boast of a better position
than Malaysia and Indonesia. However, when compared to the
giants, Japan and China, India is lagging quite behind and
has some serious catching up to do.
So, on the eve of Republic
Day, all Indians, politicians, bureaucrats, and common
citizens, should take a vow to work towards the welfare of
the country and contribute to the wholesome development of
their nation. The mission should be to travel the road ahead
with a vision to make India a golden country. |